The Conference Championships have been solidified and only two teams remain. Here’s a breakdown of the model’s performance for Week 21:
With just two games on the slate, the model posted a 0% accuracy rate on moneylines, going 0-2. As designed, the model targeted value in underdog picks, but unfortunately, none of them panned out this week. This brings the overall season moneyline performance to 171-101-12 (63%), with 38 upsets called.
The model had High or Very High confidence in one game this week and went 0-1. This brings the model’s high-confidence season moneyline record to 88-38-1 (70%).
Patriots @ Broncos – This was a close game throughout. Denver’s defense played lights out, and backup QB Jarrett Stidham had a promising start before a costly turnover. Sean Payton opted not to take the field goal early, and with a blizzard setting in by the fourth quarter, points were hard to come by. Ultimately, Denver couldn’t do enough to secure the win.
Conference Championships – Top Bets went 2-2, for a 50% hit rate.It was another weekend where only favorites won on the moneyline, though both games were tightly contested.
Here are the full results:
Parlays:
Spread Bets:
It was a close week for underdogs, but costly turnovers ultimately sealed the deal for the favorites.
With just one game left to finish out the season, stay tuned for our final prediction.
On to the Super Bowl!