What a start to the playoffs! Here’s a breakdown of the model’s performance for Wild Card Weekend (Week 19):
The model posted an 80% accuracy rate on moneylines with 4 wins, 1 loss, and 1 push across all games. As designed, the model targeted value in underdog picks, going 1-1 for a 50% hit rate. This brings the overall season moneyline performance to 170-96-12 (64%), with 38 upsets called.
The model had High or Very High confidence in three games this week and went 3-0 for a 100% success rate. This brings the model’s high-confidence season moneyline record to 87-35-1 (71%).
Wild Card Weekend – Top Bets had a great week, going 6-1 for an 86% hit rate, including a +241 parlay. Unfortunately, for one bet the Texans’ defense was too much for the Steelers to handle. The game remained close for the first three quarters, but it got away from the Steelers late, giving the Texans a decisive victory.
Here are the full results:
Parlays:
Moneyline Bets:
Spread Bets:
It was an exciting first week of the post-season, and as expected, our model continued to perform exceptionally well. It was a great week for Top Bets, earning a +79% return. Only six more games remain until the Super Bowl, and we’ll have more great predictions for every single one of them.
On to the Divisional Round!