It was a great week of close games. Here’s a breakdown of the model’s performance:

Note: When Week 13 predictions are first posted on Wednesday, they will include per-team betting line breakdowns for a deeper look into the model’s performance for the season.

Overall W/L

The model posted a 57% accuracy rate on moneylines with 8 wins and 6 losses across all games. This brings the overall season total moneyline performance to 100-71-7 (58%), with 17 upsets called.

High Confidence W/L

The model had High or Very High confidence in seven games this week and went 5-2 for a 71% success rate. This brings the model’s high-confidence season moneyline record to 51-25 (67%).

• Bills @ Texans ❌
• Patriots @ Bengals ✅
• Jets @ Ravens ✅
• Vikings @ Packers ✅
• Falcons @ Saints ❌
• Buccaneers @ Rams ✅
• Panthers @ 49ers ✅

Bills @ Texans – The Texans defense was too much for the Bills. They sacked Josh Allen eight times and intercepted him twice. The Bills had a chance to close it out with a game-winning touchdown, but came up short.

Falcons @ Saints – The Saints’ mistakes and missed field goals gave this game away to the Falcons.

Top Bets Performance

The Week 12 – Top Bets performed well, going 4-3 with one parlay hitting. The Colts moneyline bet nearly hit, but unfortunately, the Chiefs were able to secure victory with a field goal in overtime.

Here are the full results:

Parlays:

• Packers moneyline, Rams moneyline, 49ers moneyline ✅
• Patriots moneyline, Lions moneyline, Eagles moneyline ❌

Moneyline Bets:

• Colts @ Chiefs: Colts ❌

Spread Bets:

• Jets @ Ravens: Ravens -13.5 ❌
• Vikings @ Packers: Packers -6.5 ✅
• Steelers @ Bears: Bears -2.5 ✅
• Buccaneers @ Rams: Rams -7 ✅

Conclusion

It was a bumpy week with some very close games, including three overtimes. Top Bets were profitable, and the model once again did great with high-confidence picks.

On to Week 13 and Thanksgiving football!