It was a week of backup quarterbacks and blowouts, here’s a breakdown of the model’s performance:
Note: When Week 9 predictions are first posted on Wednesday, they will include per-team betting line breakdowns for a deeper look into the model’s performance for the season.
The model posted a 46% accuracy rate on moneylines with 6 wins and 7 losses across all games. This brings the overall season total moneyline performance to 66-50-5 (57%), with 12 upsets called.
The model had High or Very High confidence in 4 games this week and went 3-1 for a 75% success rate. This brings the model’s high-confidence season moneyline record to 34-17 (67%).
Vikings @ Chargers – Carson Wentz was already looking beat up at the start of this game, and unfortunately, it was only downhill from there. This one got away from the Vikings fast, and they weren’t able to claw their way back. Wentz is now out for the season, so it remains to be seen if J.J. McCarthy can right the ship moving forward.
The Week 8 – Top Bets had a rough week with the Falcons and Bengals losses. Only the confident games were successful in Top Bets with many of the backup QBs like Wentz, Cousins, and Dalton having abysmal performances.
Here are the full results:
Parlays:
Moneyline Bets:
Spread Bets:
The model had many confident picks heading into the week, but as injuries became clearer, that list dwindled to only four. Three of those four performed well, as high-confidence picks have all season, but Top Bets left a lot of room for improvement this week.
We have something exciting to announce related Top Bets soon, but until then, here’s to a more profitable Week 9!