It was a great week of football, a great week for our model’s predictions, and an even better week for our top bets. Here’s a breakdown of the model’s performance:
Note: When Week 7 predictions are first posted on Wednesday, they will include per-team betting line breakdowns for a deeper look into the model’s performance for the season.
The model posted a 64% accuracy rate on moneylines with 9 wins, 5 losses, and 1 push across all games. As designed, the model targeted value in underdog picks, going 1-1 for a 50% hit rate. This brings the overall season total moneyline performance to 51-38-4 (57%), with 10 upsets called.
The model had High or Very High confidence in 7 games this week and went 6-1 for an 86% success rate. This brings the model’s high-confidence season moneyline record to 24-13 (65%).
Bills @ Falcons – The Bills had a ton of injuries going into this game and lost even more players during it. Even then, they still had multiple opportunities for Josh Allen to get a comeback win, but they just couldn’t get it done. The model bounced back and forth on who would win leading up to this matchup, which is why our recommended bets below were on the Falcons. By Monday morning the model landed on the Bills with high confidence and a 53% chance to win, which ultimately turned out not to hit.
The Week 6 – Top Bets did excellent, going 7-1 for an 88% success rate including hitting a 4-to-1 parlay. Here are the full results:
Parlays:
Moneyline Bets:
Spread Bets:
It was a great week to be a Rogue Pro subscriber, with all but one of our top recommended bets hitting. The model’s performance over six weeks proves it sees value that others miss and that it has a deep understanding of the game of football and all that it encompasses. We look forward to seeing its performance in Week 7!